Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.002346 0.002479 0.002621 0.002784 0.002968 0.003170 0.003410
2025-05-11 0.002138 0.002319 0.002521 0.002768 0.003065 0.003417 0.003876
2025-05-18 0.002037 0.002255 0.002510 0.002837 0.003254 0.003787 0.004551
2025-05-25 0.001920 0.002156 0.002440 0.002816 0.003321 0.004006 0.005073
2025-06-01 0.001812 0.002056 0.002356 0.002765 0.003334 0.004145 0.005506
2025-06-08 0.001767 0.002029 0.002358 0.002822 0.003497 0.004520 0.006421
2025-06-15 0.001721 0.001995 0.002347 0.002857 0.003628 0.004870 0.007428
2025-06-22 0.001654 0.001930 0.002289 0.002818 0.003641 0.005023 0.008108
2025-06-29 0.001591 0.001866 0.002227 0.002769 0.003630 0.005129 0.008733
2025-07-06 0.001540 0.001814 0.002179 0.002734 0.003637 0.005269 0.009519
2025-07-13 0.001460 0.001721 0.002069 0.002600 0.003464 0.005037 0.009179
2025-07-20 0.001424 0.001686 0.002038 0.002583 0.003489 0.005199 0.010097
2025-07-27 0.001409 0.001681 0.002052 0.002639 0.003654 0.005700 0.012665
2025-08-03 0.001378 0.001651 0.002029 0.002636 0.003713 0.005992 0.014946
2025-08-10 0.001368 0.001651 0.002049 0.002703 0.003911 0.006682 0.021086
2025-08-17 0.001336 0.001619 0.002019 0.002686 0.003946 0.006969 0.026134
2025-08-24 0.001299 0.001578 0.001975 0.002640 0.003916 0.007071 0.030345
2025-08-31 0.001290 0.001575 0.001987 0.002693 0.004095 0.007863 0.056499
2025-09-07 0.001275 0.001565 0.001988 0.002725 0.004236 0.008622 0.166145
2025-09-14 0.001246 0.001532 0.001952 0.002689 0.004222 0.008830 0.629939
2025-09-21 0.001217 0.001498 0.001913 0.002644 0.004181 0.008925 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001191 0.001470 0.001881 0.002612 0.004168 0.009133 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001147 0.001412 0.001801 0.002489 0.003929 0.008348 NaN